Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin's price will be above $76,000 on April 16, 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET as the official resolution source. Traders are pricing the odds of BTC clearing that level at the exact snapshot time, making this a short-term Bitcoin prediction market tied to a specific exchange print. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,120 in smart money on this market, with a recent alert noting a sharp bettor buying Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,120.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying Yes
A proven profitable wallet with an 81% win rate and nearly $200k in realized P&L is taking a fresh low-priced Yes position at 19¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 81% of their trades and has made about $199k in realized profit
- They bought Yes at 19¢, a low price that implies they see the market as meaningfully too pessimistic
- The market is liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate directional bet, not noise from a thin orderbook
$1,120 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — No, $10,083 (60% win rate)
- 0xe351...d39a — Yes, $7,934
- 0xd57d...80d0 — Yes, $6,930 (81% win rate)
- 0x6f21...c9a5 — No, $6,888 (82% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — No, $6,565 (58% win rate)
- 0xb6fe...7394 — No, $4,390
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $4,267
- 0xe744...f96e — No, $4,145
- 0x2707...0afa — Yes, $4,036 (27% win rate)
- 0x3d73...f7b8 — Yes, $3,959
