Bitcoin above ___ on April 27?
6 signals across 1 market · $38,230 tracked · resolves Apr 27, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will be above $78,000 at the specified April 27 noon ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute close. PolySpotter is monitoring $38,230 in smart money activity across 6 signals, including a 4-wallet BTC rebound cluster and high win-rate contrarian/timer alerts.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet BTC rebound cluster
Four wallets piled into Yes for nearly $22k during a major volume spike after a sharp price dislocation, suggesting coordinated conviction on a liquid BTC event market.
$21,787Score: 13.2 - 91% win-rate contrarian
A highly profitable wallet with a 91% win rate sold Yes at 71¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 29¢, making this a notable sharp contrarian bet despite the market's strong liquidity.
$4,787Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 12.7 - 91% win-rate timer
A highly profitable wallet with a 91% win rate sold Yes about an hour before resolution, effectively taking a bearish Bitcoin-above-$78k position as the market was collapsing.
$1,805Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 12.3 - 91% win-rate BTC bettor
A small but very profitable wallet with a 91% win rate bought Yes in a high-volume BTC expiry market during a major pre-resolution volume surge, making this a copy-worthy signal despite only one trade.
$5,737Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 10.5 - Profitable serial timer fading panic
A profitable serial timer with $279k lifetime P&L bought Yes about 58 minutes before resolution into a sharp 41-point selloff, suggesting a deliberate contrarian stab at 20¢.
$1,131Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 7.8 - 91% win-rate BTC bettor
A small but proven sharp wallet with a 91% hit rate bought Yes at 43¢ in a liquid BTC market after the price had dropped, making this a credible directional signal despite only one trade.
$2,982Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 7.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc408cf…c1ef$15,312 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x388537…ca77$1,131 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Bitcoin is above $78,000 on April 27?
The live odds come from Polymarket pricing for the event, which reflects trader expectations that BTC/USDT will close above $78,000 at noon ET on April 27. PolySpotter adds context by tracking smart money flows behind those odds.
What smart money is betting on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter has tracked $38,230 in smart money activity across 6 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 4-wallet BTC rebound cluster, a 91% win-rate BTC bettor, and a profitable serial timer fading panic.
How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 noon ET on April 27 has a final close price above $78,000. If the close is $78,000 or lower, it resolves No.
Why are traders watching this BTC $78K level?
Round-number strike markets like $78,000 can attract active trading because they are easy benchmarks for short-term Bitcoin momentum. The recent smart money alerts suggest some tracked wallets are positioning around a potential BTC rebound.
Where can I track Bitcoin above $78K Polymarket odds?
You can follow the live Polymarket odds for this event on the market page, while PolySpotter highlights notable smart money behavior, wallet clusters, and high win-rate bettor signals tied to the event.