Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on April 27?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,230.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
91% win-rate timer
A highly profitable wallet with a 91% win rate sold Yes about an hour before resolution, effectively taking a bearish Bitcoin-above-$78k position as the market was collapsing.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $163k lifetime.
- They acted about 58 minutes before resolution, a useful pattern when paired with a strong track record.
- Selling Yes at 21¢ is equivalent to buying No at 79¢, and the market has since moved further their way.
$1,805 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial timer fading panic
A profitable serial timer with $279k lifetime P&L bought Yes about 58 minutes before resolution into a sharp 41-point selloff, suggesting a deliberate contrarian stab at 20¢.
- This wallet is up $279k lifetime and has a pattern of betting near resolution across 3 markets.
- They bought Yes at 20¢ after the Yes price crashed 41 points in 4 minutes, a clear contrarian entry.
- The market is liquid and close to expiry, so this looks more like a timed conviction trade than random whale flow.
$1,131 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
4-wallet BTC rebound cluster
Four wallets piled into Yes for nearly $22k during a major volume spike after a sharp price dislocation, suggesting coordinated conviction on a liquid BTC event market.
- Four wallets bought nearly $22k of Yes in the same window, a strong one-sided cluster on a high-volume Bitcoin market.
- They bought after a violent swing, with entries from 57¢ to 70¢ and the market already rebounding to 74¢.
- Two of the larger wallets are profitable over 1,300+ resolved bets each, adding some credibility to the flow despite mixed wallet quality.
$21,787 on Yes
91% win-rate contrarian
A highly profitable wallet with a 91% win rate sold Yes at 71¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 29¢, making this a notable sharp contrarian bet despite the market's strong liquidity.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up $163k lifetime
- They sold Yes at 71¢, which is the same as buying No at 29¢
- The trade went against a market that had just surged, suggesting they saw the price as too high
$4,787 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
91% win-rate BTC bettor
A small but very profitable wallet with a 91% win rate bought Yes in a high-volume BTC expiry market during a major pre-resolution volume surge, making this a copy-worthy signal despite only one trade.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $163k.
- They bought $5.7k of Yes at 43¢ as market volume ran 244x above normal.
- The same wallet is active across related BTC markets, which suggests a deliberate event view rather than a random punt.
$5,737 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
91% win-rate BTC bettor
A small but proven sharp wallet with a 91% hit rate bought Yes at 43¢ in a liquid BTC market after the price had dropped, making this a credible directional signal despite only one trade.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $163k overall.
- They bought Yes at 43¢ after the market fell 10 points in a day, suggesting they see the drop as overdone.
- They are also positioning across 2 related BTC markets, pointing to a broader event view rather than a random one-off bet.
$2,982 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xafe6...8192 — Outcome 24429453, $18,631 (84% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Outcome 24429453, $10,267 (60% win rate)
- 0xa97e...24ff — Outcome 24429453, $7,391
- 0xc97c...cdf6 — Outcome 24429453, $4,640
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 24429453, $3,643
- 0xc408...c1ef — Outcome 24429453, $2,708 (83% win rate)
- 0x3234...f52b — Outcome 24429453, $1,401
- 0x1f49...5437 — Outcome 24429453, $1,141
- 0x13df...4fe7 — Outcome 24429453, $928
- 0xfb67...3af1 — Outcome 24429453, $780
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Bitcoin reaches 100K, not 110K
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Thunder Spurs exceed total
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