Bitcoin above ___ on May 20?
5 signals across 3 markets · $10,683 tracked · resolves May 20, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will be above $86,000 on May 20, based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute close at noon ET. Traders are betting the Yes/No outcome for the $86K strike, with PolySpotter currently tracking $5,000 in smart money activity and a recent “Quiet-market NO whale” signal.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% win-rate BTC trader
Sharp serial cross-market BTC bettor with a 92% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is taking the Yes side by selling No.
$1,640Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.0 - Quiet-market NO whale
A modestly profitable 75% wallet put $5k into No on a thin BTC market, exceeding reported 24h volume and fitting a cross-market thesis.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought No 43.5 minutes before close and the market has already moved sharply from 76¢ to 97¢.
$1,463Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.4 - 92% win-rate crypto regular
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on the BTC level market at 67¢.
$1,340Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with $402k lifetime P&L is buying Yes across related BTC markets, though the individual bet is modest.
$1,240Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4d0640…b2ea$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$2,980 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x4ee29e…46e1$1,463 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x0fe40e…01b7$1,240 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin above $86,000 on May 20 odds?
The market price on Polymarket reflects the current implied odds that BTC/USDT will close above $86,000 on the Binance 12:00 PM ET one-minute candle on May 20. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see whether sophisticated traders are leaning Yes or No.
What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert headline is a “Quiet-market NO whale,” suggesting a larger trader took a No position while the market was relatively quiet.
How does this Polymarket Bitcoin market resolve?
It resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on May 20 has a final close price higher than $86,000. If the close is $86,000 or lower, it resolves to No.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
This event currently includes one child market: whether Bitcoin will be above $86,000 on May 20. Traders can buy Yes if they think BTC will finish above that level, or No if they think it will not.
Where can I track Bitcoin May 20 prediction market signals?
You can use PolySpotter to monitor the Polymarket odds, smart money flow, and alert headlines for this Bitcoin above $86,000 May 20 market in one place.