Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 20?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,103.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought No 43.5 minutes before close and the market has already moved sharply from 76¢ to 97¢.

  • This bettor has a strong last-minute pattern: 14 near-resolution bets across 7 markets.
  • They are up $97,773 lifetime across 1,416 resolved trades.
  • The No position moved from 76¢ to 97¢ after entry, so the edge may already be mostly priced in.

$1,463 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

92% win-rate BTC trader

Sharp serial cross-market BTC bettor with a 92% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is taking the Yes side by selling No.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $50.7K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 50 events and 78 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market crypto strategy.
  • Selling No at 82¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 18¢, a contrarian position versus the current 14¢ market price.

$1,640 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6e1d...d0fa Outcome 15551185, $21,177 (59% win rate)
  2. 0xd519...932c Outcome 15551185, $15,555 (18% win rate)
  3. 0xaac2...e8ce Outcome 54822569, $9,369 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x00c8...9ccd Outcome 15551185, $8,947
  5. 0xafe6...8192 Outcome 15551185, $7,000 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x4699...e03c Outcome 54822569, $6,981 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x699d...0501 Outcome 54822569, $6,759 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x9b6b...9a8a Outcome 15551185, $5,948
  9. 0x0fe4...01b7 Outcome 54822569, $5,774 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x4ee2...46e1 Outcome 54822569, $4,659 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?

ResolvedBitcoin above ___ on May 20?$3,103 tracked2 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Notable Trades

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?

5h ago

$1,463 on No at 76¢

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?

8h ago

$1,640 on Yes at 18¢

Related Theses