Bitcoin above ___ on May 23?
6 signals across 2 markets · $20,351 tracked · resolves May 23, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will close above $74,000 on Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET on May 23. PolySpotter is monitoring the event’s prediction-market odds and smart money activity, including a recent signal where an 87% winner was buying NO.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet contrarian BTC flow
Four wallets, including a high-volume profitable BTC trader, clustered into the contrarian No side during a major volume spike.
$8,736Score: 12.5 - Sharp crypto bettor buying No
Sharp wallet with an 86% record and strong profits bought No on a near-term BTC market, with additional same-event positioning.
$1,715Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 7.0 - 87% winner buying NO
Surface because a highly profitable wallet with an 87% resolved win rate is buying No on a BTC price market at 21¢.
$1,050Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.0 - 92% winner buying thin BTC
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win record bought a meaningful Yes position in a thin BTC market.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.0 - Profitable cross-market BTC bettor
A profitable high-volume wallet made a $3k Yes buy on a thin BTC market while also positioning across a related market.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.0 - 92% serial cross-market trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate is buying No after a major odds collapse, making the wallet track record the main signal.
$4,250Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$5,850 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x4d0640…b2ea$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x66d75f…5b7b$2,765 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Bitcoin above $74,000 on May 23?
The live odds are based on trading in the Polymarket market for whether BTC will be above $74,000 at noon ET on May 23. Check the event page for the latest price, implied probability, and movement over time.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter tracked $1,050 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert showed an 87% winner buying NO, suggesting that trader was positioning against Bitcoin finishing above $74,000 at the resolution time.
How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?
The market resolves YES if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 PM ET on May 23 has a final close price above $74,000. If the close is $74,000 or lower, it resolves NO.
Why do traders watch this BTC above $74K market?
Short-dated Bitcoin strike markets let traders express a view on a specific price level by a specific time. They are useful for tracking market expectations around volatility, momentum, and whether BTC can hold above a key threshold.