Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 23?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,786.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Four-wallet contrarian BTC flow
Four wallets, including a high-volume profitable BTC trader, clustered into the contrarian No side during a major volume spike.
- Four wallets put $8.7k on No in the same window, a coordinated move against the 96% Yes market price.
- One wallet in the cluster is up about $302k lifetime and has traded over $40M across resolved markets.
- Volume spiked nearly 1,478x versus the normal pace, suggesting this was not routine flow.
$8,736 on No
87% winner buying NO
Surface because a highly profitable wallet with an 87% resolved win rate is buying No on a BTC price market at 21¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $161.9K lifetime.
- They are buying No at 21¢, implying a roughly 4.8x payout if Bitcoin is not above $74K at resolution.
- The market is still modest-sized, so a $1.05K trade is meaningful relative to recent activity.
$1,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Related Theses
Bitcoin avoids $74K-$76K range
Covers 2 related markets
Bitcoin stays below $74K
Covers 2 related markets
Bitcoin tops $100K by 2026
Covers 3 related markets
