This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $161.9K lifetime. They are buying No at 21¢, implying a roughly 4.8x payout if Bitcoin is not above $74K at resolution. The market is still modest-sized, so a $1.05K trade is meaningful relative to recent activity.

Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 23?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,786.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Four-wallet contrarian BTC flow

Four wallets, including a high-volume profitable BTC trader, clustered into the contrarian No side during a major volume spike.

Four wallets put $8.7k on No in the same window, a coordinated move against the 96% Yes market price.
One wallet in the cluster is up about $302k lifetime and has traded over $40M across resolved markets.
Volume spiked nearly 1,478x versus the normal pace, suggesting this was not routine flow.

$8,736 on No

87% winner buying NO

Surface because a highly profitable wallet with an 87% resolved win rate is buying No on a BTC price market at 21¢.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $161.9K lifetime.
They are buying No at 21¢, implying a roughly 4.8x payout if Bitcoin is not above $74K at resolution.
The market is still modest-sized, so a $1.05K trade is meaningful relative to recent activity.

$1,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0x64ce...944b — Outcome 57092482, $10,000 (94% win rate)
0xa97e...24ff — Outcome 57092482, $7,925
0x8f3f...c9e4 — Outcome 57092482, $6,699
0xe494...d59a — Outcome 57092482, $6,452
0xa6c1...384e — Outcome 57092482, $5,106
0x66d7...5b7b — Outcome 57092482, $5,000 (88% win rate)
0x7cfb...9c20 — Outcome 57092482, $4,321
0x6ef9...afac — Outcome 57092482, $4,000
0xb4fc...a926 — Outcome 57092482, $2,959 (55% win rate)
0xd7ef...c5f4 — Outcome 57092482, $2,510

Related Theses

Bitcoin avoids $74K-$76K range

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin stays below $74K

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin tops $100K by 2026

Covers 3 related markets

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?

ResolvedBitcoin above ___ on May 23?$9,786 tracked2 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.