Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7AM ET
3 signals across 1 market · $3,427 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
This event tracks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting April 12 at 7AM ET closes up or down on Binance. Traders are pricing both outcomes on Polymarket, with PolySpotter currently tracking $3,427 in smart money activity and multiple timer-style signals around the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial timer with 1,253 resolved bets bought Down 26 minutes before resolution at 49¢, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 28¢.
$1,162Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 8.4 - 98% win-rate timer
A bettor with an extraordinary 98% win rate bought Down at 55¢ about 24 minutes before resolution, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 28¢ implied for Down.
$1,064Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial timer
A proven profitable serial timer bought Down 50 minutes before resolution at 45¢, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 26¢.
$1,201Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 6.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xef104c…0b43$2,362 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 58% wins
- 0xb8aae8…a3c7$1,064 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for April 12 at 7AM ET?
The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ expectations for whether the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle beginning at 7AM ET will close at or above its open price. Check the event page for the latest live pricing across the Up and Down outcomes.
What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?
“Up” means the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that starts at 7AM ET closes greater than or equal to its open price. If the close is below the open, the market resolves to “Down.”
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,427 in smart money activity across this event, including alerts labeled “Profitable serial timer” and “98% win-rate timer.” These signals highlight notable trader behavior, but they are not guarantees of the final outcome.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves after the relevant 1-hour Binance BTC/USDT candle is complete, with resolution expected by April 12, 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
Where does Polymarket get the Bitcoin price for resolution?
Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT candle data. The open and close values shown for the specified 1-hour candle determine whether the outcome is Up or Down.