This bettor wins 98% of their trades and is up about $249k across 505 resolved positions They bought Down 24 minutes before resolution at 55¢, suggesting a repeatable short-term timing edge The market now implies Down at about 28¢, so this entry already looks much better than the current price

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7AM ET

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,427.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial timer with 1,253 resolved bets bought Down 26 minutes before resolution at 49¢, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 28¢.

This bettor has made 1,253 resolved bets and is up $181k overall.
They repeatedly bet near resolution across 37 markets, a pattern that often signals strong short-term timing.
They bought Down at 49¢ and that price has already moved to 28¢, showing the market quickly followed their view.

$1,162 on Down | Wallet win rate: 57%

98% win-rate timer

A bettor with an extraordinary 98% win rate bought Down at 55¢ about 24 minutes before resolution, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 28¢ implied for Down.

This bettor wins 98% of their trades and is up about $249k across 505 resolved positions
They bought Down 24 minutes before resolution at 55¢, suggesting a repeatable short-term timing edge
The market now implies Down at about 28¢, so this entry already looks much better than the current price

$1,064 on Down | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial timer

A proven profitable serial timer bought Down 50 minutes before resolution at 45¢, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 26¢.

This bettor has made 1,253 resolved trades and is up $181k overall
They repeatedly bet late in longer-duration markets, with 39 near-resolution bets across 37 markets
They bought Down at 45¢ and the market is now 26¢, showing a strong move in their favor

$1,201 on Down | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

0x387a...8eae — Outcome 73309967, $2,000
0xb8aa...a3c7 — Outcome 73309967, $1,935 (98% win rate)
0xebac...67e5 — Outcome 73309967, $994
0xd938...0481 — Outcome 73309967, $774
0xa9dc...2698 — Outcome 73309967, $464
0xd3a6...0937 — Outcome 73309967, $445
0x674b...4f07 — Outcome 73309967, $280
0x252b...7347 — Outcome 73309967, $253
0x8888...0b39 — Outcome 73309967, $223
0x224f...ef71 — Outcome 73309967, $200

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7AM ET

Resolved$3,427 tracked3 signalsCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoin1HUp or Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.