Event

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?

5 signals across 1 market · $13,119 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price closes higher or lower from the May 10 noon ET Binance candle to the May 11 noon ET candle. PolySpotter is monitoring $8,139 in smart money activity across the event, including signals from a profitable serial cross-market trader and a profitable BTC volume spike.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?5 signals · $13,119 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial cross-market trader

    Serial cross-market trader with substantial lifetime profit bought Down before a major volume spike, and the position has already moved from 70% to 74%.

    $1,139Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.0
  2. Profitable serial BTC trader

    Experienced high-volume cross-market trader with strong lifetime profit bought Down into a major BTC volume spike, though the entry is already worse than current market.

    $1,656Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.4
  3. Profitable BTC volume spike

    A large $7k Down buy in a daily BTC market came with a major pre-event volume spike and favorable immediate move, from a high-volume wallet with strong lifetime profits despite only modest win rate.

    $7,000Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 3.3
  4. Profitable serial crypto trader

    Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Up on BTC despite the market now trading below their 80¢ entry.

    $1,692Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0
  5. Profitable serial cross-market trader

    A highly active profitable cross-market trader bought Up amid a large volume spike and strong recent price move.

    $1,632Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x388537ca77$7,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
  2. 0x0fe40e01b7$6,119 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 60% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11 prediction market?

It is a Polymarket market on whether Bitcoin closes higher or lower at the May 11 noon ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle compared with the May 10 noon ET candle.

How do the Bitcoin May 11 odds work?

The market price reflects the crowd-implied probability that Bitcoin will be up or down over the specified 24-hour window. Traders buy the outcome they believe will resolve correctly.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $8,139 in smart money activity for this event, with recent alerts pointing to a profitable serial cross-market trader and a profitable BTC volume spike.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 11 market resolve?

The event resolves after the final close price for the May 11, 2026 noon ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle is available, with resolution expected by 16:00 UTC.

Where can I track Bitcoin May 11 Polymarket odds?

You can follow the live Bitcoin Up or Down May 11 odds and smart money alerts on PolySpotter’s event page for this Polymarket market.