Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?
6 signals across 1 market · $15,872 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18 is a Polymarket prediction market on whether BTC’s Binance BTC/USDT close at noon ET on May 18, 2026 finishes above or below the noon ET close from May 17. PolySpotter tracks the live market odds plus smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial crypto trader with $1,275 tracked across this event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% win-rate crypto sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate made a contrarian BTC move by selling Down, equivalent to buying Up at 16¢.
$1,151Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0 - 92% win-rate BTC sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% historical win rate bought $3.2k of Down at 87¢.
$3,160Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0 - 92% win-rate BTC trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% historical win rate bought $7.2K of Down at 82¢ on a liquid BTC daily market.
$7,204Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0 - 96% serial crypto bettor
A highly proven serial cross-market wallet with 96% resolved win rate is effectively buying Up around 17¢ after a sharp move toward Down.
$1,007Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Down amid a major BTC market volume spike and strong move toward Down.
$1,275Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.3 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Down at 83¢ on a BTC daily market, though the bet is modest and mostly follows current market momentum.
$2,075Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$11,515 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x0fe40e…01b7$3,350 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0xfcbecc…8f44$1,007 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18 odds?
The odds come from Polymarket prices for whether Bitcoin closes higher or lower at the specified noon ET comparison. PolySpotter surfaces those market-implied probabilities alongside smart money signals as traders reposition.
What does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve on?
It resolves based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices: May 17, 2026 at 12:00 ET versus May 18, 2026 at 12:00 ET. If the May 18 close is higher, it resolves Up; if lower, it resolves Down.
Is smart money betting on Bitcoin going up or down?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,275 in smart money activity for this event, including a recent alert tied to a profitable serial crypto trader. Check the live event page to see which side that trader backed and whether additional signals appear.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18 market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 18, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, after the relevant noon ET Binance BTC/USDT candle data is available.
Why follow this Bitcoin Polymarket event?
Daily Bitcoin direction markets can move quickly around momentum, macro news, and crypto-specific volatility. Tracking both prices and smart money can help you see how experienced traders are positioning before resolution.