Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,872.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

92% win-rate crypto sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate made a contrarian BTC move by selling Down, equivalent to buying Up at 16¢.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.37M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 365 events with $4.3M in flagged activity.
Selling Down at 84¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 16¢, a contrarian bet versus the current 10¢ market price.

$1,151 on Up | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% win-rate BTC trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% historical win rate bought $7.2K of Down at 82¢ on a liquid BTC daily market.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.37M lifetime.
They have traded 475 markets across 364 events, making this a repeat sharp-wallet signal rather than a one-off bet.
They bought Down at 82¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢ in their direction.

$7,204 on Down | Wallet win rate: 92%

96% serial crypto bettor

A highly proven serial cross-market wallet with 96% resolved win rate is effectively buying Up around 17¢ after a sharp move toward Down.

This bettor has won 96% of 2,703 resolved trades and is up $23K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 1,049 markets, suggesting a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
Selling Down at 83¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 17¢ after Up fell 34.5 points today.

$1,007 on Up | Wallet win rate: 95%

92% win-rate BTC sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% historical win rate bought $3.2k of Down at 87¢.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.38M lifetime.
They have traded across 363 events with over $25M invested, suggesting a durable edge.
They bought Down at 87¢ as the market has already moved sharply toward Down.

$3,160 on Down | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Down at 83¢ on a BTC daily market, though the bet is modest and mostly follows current market momentum.

This bettor has 1,533 resolved trades and is up $394k lifetime.
They have traded across 55 events and 83 markets, suggesting a repeat strategy rather than a one-off bet.
They bought Down at 83¢ while the market already heavily favors Down at 82%.

$2,075 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Down amid a major BTC market volume spike and strong move toward Down.

This bettor has a long record: 1,505 resolved trades and $388K in lifetime profit.
They bought Down after a huge volume surge, with market odds shifting about 20 points toward Down in the past day.
Current price is slightly better than their 73¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy point.

$1,275 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%