Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?
7 signals across 1 market · $18,396 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026
This event tracks whether Bitcoin will close higher or lower at noon ET on May 19 compared with the noon ET BTC/USDT Binance candle on May 18. Polymarket traders are pricing the Up vs. Down outcome, while PolySpotter has flagged $1,244 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial cross-market bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought $6.9k of Up about 11 minutes before expiry and the market quickly moved from the high-70s/80s to 96%.
$6,908Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 7.4 - Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up shortly before close, with a long history of last-minute crypto/event bets and $331k lifetime P&L.
$2,558Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.6 - Serial timer up $331K
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up 30 minutes before BTC market resolution, with a long history of last-minute bets and $331k lifetime P&L.
$1,190Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.6 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution crypto trader with a large positive lifetime P&L bought Up in size about 45 minutes before resolution, though the edge appears modest and the market has since moved against the entry.
$3,874Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.4 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Up on BTC at 71¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢.
$1,354Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying BTC Up, but the position is modest and the signal is mainly their long profitable history.
$1,244Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0 - Profitable cross-market veteran
Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market history bought Up amid a major volume spike and strong price momentum.
$1,267Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6e1d50…d0fa$14,531 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 59% wins
- 0x0fe40e…01b7$3,865 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 19 odds?
The odds reflect Polymarket prices for whether BTC finishes higher or lower at the May 19 noon ET close versus the May 18 noon ET reference candle. Check the live market prices for the latest implied probabilities.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,244 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial cross-market bettor.
How does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 19 market resolve?
It resolves to Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon ET on May 19 is above the noon ET close on May 18. It resolves to Down if the May 19 close is lower.
When does this Bitcoin Polymarket event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the May 19, 2026 noon ET Binance BTC/USDT candle, with the listed resolution time around 16:00 UTC.
Can I use this page to follow Bitcoin prediction market sentiment?
Yes. This hub summarizes the event odds and highlights PolySpotter smart money signals so you can see how prediction-market traders are positioning on Bitcoin’s daily move.