Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,396.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought $6.9k of Up about 11 minutes before expiry and the market quickly moved from the high-70s/80s to 96%.

This bettor has a long last-minute trading pattern: 103 near-resolution bets across 31 markets.
They are up $331k lifetime and have traded over $38M in resolved markets.
They built a $6.9k Up position at an average around 84¢, before odds jumped to 96¢.

$6,908 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

Serial timer up $331K

Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up 30 minutes before BTC market resolution, with a long history of last-minute bets and $331k lifetime P&L.

This bettor is up $331k lifetime and repeatedly trades close to resolution.
They have made 102 near-resolution bets across 31 markets, suggesting a real-time timing edge.
They bought Up at 79¢ shortly before expiry, and the market has already moved to 82¢.

$1,190 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up shortly before close, with a long history of last-minute crypto/event bets and $331k lifetime P&L.

This bettor is up $331k lifetime and has placed 102 near-resolution bets across 31 markets.
They bought Up 15–30 minutes before resolution, and the position has already moved from 79–82¢ to 86¢.
This is a liquid BTC market with a sharp 31-point daily move, so the timing suggests a focused short-term view.

$2,558 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution crypto trader with a large positive lifetime P&L bought Up in size about 45 minutes before resolution, though the edge appears modest and the market has since moved against the entry.

This bettor is up $330k lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved markets.
They have made 99 near-resolution bets across 31 markets, suggesting a repeatable timing-based approach.
They bought $3.9k of Up around 80¢ with under an hour to resolution.

$3,874 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Up on BTC at 71¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢.

This bettor is up $394K lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved bets.
They have traded 57 related events and 85 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
Entry at 71¢ has already moved to 74¢, with BTC Up gaining 24 points over the last day.

$1,354 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable cross-market veteran

Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market history bought Up amid a major volume spike and strong price momentum.

This bettor has made 1,533 resolved trades and is up $394K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 57 events with $657K in flagged flow.
Market volume is running 27.6x above normal, and Up has moved sharply to 74¢.

$1,267 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying BTC Up, but the position is modest and the signal is mainly their long profitable history.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,533 resolved trades and about $394K in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 56 events and 84 markets.
They bought Up at 74¢ after the market moved sharply higher over the past day.

$1,244 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%