PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,166 tracked · resolves Apr 17, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 7:45–8:00PM ET window on April 16 at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, or below it. PolySpotter is tracking $1,166 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent profitable last-minute timing signal.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET1 signal · $1,166 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable last-minute timer

    A highly profitable wallet with a 77% win rate made a last-minute binary trade 1.1 minutes before resolution, suggesting a repeatable timing edge worth following.

    $1,166Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 2.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x104a3f…5b05$1,166 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for April 16, 7:45–8:00PM ET?

The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin ends the 15-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price versus below it. Check the live Polymarket prices for the latest Up and Down probabilities.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” resolves yes if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 8:00PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 7:45PM ET. If the ending price is lower, the event resolves to Down.

Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin Up or Down event?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,166 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this event, including a recent alert tagged as a profitable last-minute timer.

When does this Polymarket event resolve?

The event covers the April 16, 7:45–8:00PM ET window and is expected to resolve by April 17, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream.