Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish the 7:45PM-8:00PM ET window on April 16 higher than or equal to where it started, or lower by the end of the interval. It resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so the outcome depends on that specific feed rather than prices from exchanges or other trackers. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,166 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,166.
Notable Trades
Profitable last-minute timer
A highly profitable wallet with a 77% win rate made a last-minute binary trade 1.1 minutes before resolution, suggesting a repeatable timing edge worth following.
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $310k lifetime
- They placed this bet just 1.1 minutes before resolution, a strong sign of timing edge
- Selling Up at 77¢ is equivalent to buying Down at 23¢, a cheap entry if their read is right
$1,166 on Down | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x1b1f...61b4 — Outcome 14512053, $469 (87% win rate)
- 0xe66a...6cff — Outcome 14512053, $392 (100% win rate)
- 0x92b9...6965 — Outcome 14512053, $379
- 0x64a4...c103 — Outcome 14512053, $348
- 0x9fac...c50d — Outcome 14512053, $338
- 0xa496...b80e — Outcome 14512053, $330
- 0x0fb2...f30b — Outcome 14512053, $302
- 0x8320...904e — Outcome 14512053, $289
- 0x7e18...84c4 — Outcome 14512053, $279
- 0x7650...5099 — Outcome 14512053, $213
