Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,259 tracked · resolves Apr 17, 2026

This event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the April 16, 11:00PM–11:15PM ET window higher or lower according to Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream. Traders are betting on the short-term Up or Down outcome, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,259 in smart-money activity and a signal from an 80% win-rate serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET1 signal · $1,259 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 80% win-rate serial timer

    A profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate sold Down 3.6 minutes before resolution, which converts to a late BUY Up at 17¢ in a short-horizon BTC market.

    $1,259Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 10.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x1e3b68c850$1,259 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16 at 11:00PM ET?

The event’s odds reflect Polymarket trading on whether BTC ends the 15-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Check the live market for the latest Up and Down probabilities.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,259 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent alert tied to an 80% win-rate serial timer. That can help show whether experienced traders are leaning Up or Down.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 11:15PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 11:00PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to Down.

Is this based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from exchanges like Coinbase or Binance may not determine the outcome.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?

The trading window ends at 11:15PM ET on April 16, and the event resolves after the Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are confirmed.