Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,259.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

80% win-rate serial timer

A profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate sold Down 3.6 minutes before resolution, which converts to a late BUY Up at 17¢ in a short-horizon BTC market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $8.3k on $42.6k invested
  • They placed this bet 3.6 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that can matter in short BTC windows
  • Selling Down at 83¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 17¢, a very cheap entry versus the market now at 26¢

$1,259 on Up | Wallet win rate: 38%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0100...a303 Outcome 97564925, $2,794
  2. 0xa665...01e3 Outcome 97564925, $957
  3. 0x674b...4f07 Outcome 97564925, $804
  4. 0x8201...5d39 Outcome 97564925, $658 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x8f70...8634 Outcome 97564925, $488
  6. 0xd5eb...f67f Outcome 97564925, $332
  7. 0x4336...e51c Outcome 97564925, $115
  8. 0x1343...1bdf Outcome 97564925, $100
  9. 0x7da0...6be2 Outcome 97564925, $100
  10. 0x7ee1...16cc Outcome 97564925, $100

Related Theses

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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved$1,259 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

2d ago

$1,259 on Up at 17¢

Related Theses