Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
3 signals across 1 market · $7,593 tracked · resolves Apr 24, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the April 24, 4:00AM–4:15AM ET window up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter tracked $7,593 in smart-money activity across 3 signals, including alerts from serial timer wallets and a 98% win-rate timer.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial timer leads 4-wallet cluster
A 4-wallet cluster bought Up minutes before expiry, led by a serial near-resolution bettor with a 98% win rate and strong lifetime edge, making this a copy-worthy short-term signal despite the small absolute size.
$5,245Score: 20.9 - Profitable serial timer
A highly active profitable serial timer with $113k lifetime profit bought Down 10 minutes before resolution, a repeat pattern that has shown a real edge.
$1,348Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 9.9 - 98% win-rate timer
A tiny but notable buy from an exceptionally strong short-term bettor who wins 98% of resolved bets and bought after a sharp intraminute move.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x606d65…1aaf$1,348 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xe094ff…7fa2$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What is the Bitcoin Up or Down Apr 24 4:00AM market?
It is a 15-minute Polymarket event on whether the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 4:15AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 4:00AM ET. If it is, the event resolves Up; otherwise it resolves Down.
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down Apr 24 4:00AM?
The odds reflect traders’ live pricing of whether BTC will finish the 15-minute window higher or lower. On PolySpotter, you can monitor those odds alongside smart-money positioning for the event.
What is smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter tracked $7,593 across 3 smart-money signals for this event. Recent alerts highlighted a 4-wallet serial-timer cluster, a profitable serial timer, and a 98% win-rate timer participating in the market.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event resolves after the April 24, 4:00AM–4:15AM ET window, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.
Does this market use Coinbase, Binance, or another BTC price?
No. Resolution is based specifically on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, so prices on exchanges or other data providers may differ from the official source.