Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
3 signals across 1 market · $6,826 tracked · resolves Jun 18, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the June 18, 2:45–3:00AM ET window higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter has tracked $1,698 in smart money activity, with a recent signal showing an 84% winner buying Down.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Last-second BTC specialist
Profitable high-volume crypto bettor made a last-second Down buy at 64¢ that immediately resolved to 100¢, suggesting strong real-time execution edge but no current copy opportunity at fair price.
$1,926Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 5.0 - Near-perfect BTC closer
A highly profitable near-resolution BTC bettor bought Down at 84¢ and the market immediately resolved to 100¢.
$3,203Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.0 - 84% winner buying Down
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down at even odds despite only a weak low-activity signal.
$1,698Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2a9c77…c8cf$3,203 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xd18966…06f4$1,926 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x898b5c…560d$1,698 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18, 2:45–3:00AM ET?
The live Polymarket odds reflect whether traders expect Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price to end the 15-minute window at or above its starting price, or below it. Check the event page for the latest Up and Down pricing.
What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,698 in smart money across this event. The latest alert shows an 84% winner buying Down, suggesting a high-performing trader is positioning for Bitcoin to finish lower over the window.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the BTC/USD price from Chainlink at 3:00AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 2:45AM ET. It resolves to Down if the ending price is lower than the starting price.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?
No. This event resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not a specific exchange price. Other Bitcoin price feeds may differ slightly and do not determine the outcome.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?
The event covers June 18 from 2:45AM to 3:00AM ET and is scheduled to resolve by 7:00AM UTC on June 18, 2026, once the Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are confirmed.