Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
This Polymarket-style Bitcoin Up or Down market asks whether the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 3:00AM ET on June 18 will be greater than or equal to the price at 2:45AM ET. It resolves to “Up” if Bitcoin is flat or higher over the 15-minute window, and “Down” if it is lower. PolySpotter tracks $1,698 in smart money activity for this market, with the latest alert showing an 84% winner buying “Down.”
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,698.
Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M
Notable Trades
84% winner buying Down
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down at even odds despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $6.8K lifetime.
- They bought Down at 50¢ in an even market, implying a clean 2x payout if right.
- The bet was about half of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quiet contract.
$1,698 on Down | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x898b...560d — Down, $3,395 (84% win rate)
- 0x881a...a85a — Up, $3,390
- 0x425c...a16e — Up, $5
- 0xfa2b...f194 — Up, $5
- 0xf70c...4e63 — Down, $5
