Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,153 tracked · resolves Apr 16, 2026

This event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 4:05AM–4:10AM ET window on April 16 up or down versus its starting price, based on Chainlink BTC/USD data. PolySpotter is monitoring the Polymarket odds and smart money activity, including a recent signal from a new wallet off to a perfect start.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET1 signal · $2,153 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. New wallet, perfect start

    A 1-day-old wallet with early profits and a perfect 8-0 record made another sizable last-minute bet, suggesting a potentially skilled short-duration trader worth tracking despite the small dollar size.

    $2,153Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x7248000f69$2,153 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for April 16, 4:05AM–4:10AM ET?

The odds reflect Polymarket trading on whether the Chainlink BTC/USD price ends the five-minute window greater than or equal to its starting price. Check the event page for the latest live market-implied probability.

What outcomes are being traded in this Bitcoin prediction market?

This event centers on a single short-term Bitcoin market: “Up” if BTC/USD is at or above the starting price at 4:10AM ET, and “Down” if it is below the starting price.

What is the smart money doing on this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,153 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal highlighted as a “new wallet, perfect start.” That suggests a newly tracked bettor has begun with accurate calls, making their positioning worth watching.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves after the April 16, 4:05AM–4:10AM ET window ends, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

Is this based on the Bitcoin price from an exchange?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not the price shown on Coinbase, Binance, or another individual exchange.