Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 4:05AM and 4:10AM ET on April 16. It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 5-minute window is greater than or equal to the starting price; otherwise it resolves to Down. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,153 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,153.

Notable Trades

New wallet, perfect start

A 1-day-old wallet with early profits and a perfect 8-0 record made another sizable last-minute bet, suggesting a potentially skilled short-duration trader worth tracking despite the small dollar size.

  • This 1-day-old wallet is already 8 for 8 and up $8.3k on $12.1k invested
  • They made another $2.2k bet just 6 minutes before resolution, a pattern that can signal strong short-term timing
  • They bought Down at 55-57¢, implying they saw clear edge even late in the market

$2,153 on Down | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 45764347, $1,800
  2. 0x6921...8f91 — Outcome 45764347, $1,280
  3. 0xc574...b9da — Outcome 45764347, $1,044 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xc58d...05d6 — Outcome 45764347, $1,033 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x7f4d...7411 — Outcome 45764347, $669
  6. 0xe3f1...b7b0 — Outcome 45764347, $600
  7. 0x42a2...e9e8 — Outcome 45764347, $600
  8. 0xd1a7...a52f — Outcome 45764347, $500
  9. 0x13ee...e5ee — Outcome 45764347, $497
  10. 0xca64...01a4 — Outcome 45764347, $488

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

$2,153 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

2h ago

$2,153 on Down at 56¢