PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,515 tracked · resolves Apr 21, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 1:15–1:20 PM ET window on April 21 up or down versus its starting price. PolySpotter tracked $1,515 in smart money activity across the event, including a late-timer signal from a trader profile with an 86% win rate.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET1 signal · $1,515 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Late timer with 86% win rate

    A profitable wallet with an 86% win rate bought Down just 5 minutes before resolution as the market moved sharply, a strong short-term timing signal despite the small dollar size.

    $1,515Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 5.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x970090…798f$1,515 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down April 21 prediction market?

It is a short-term Polymarket event on whether BTC/USD ends the 1:15–1:20 PM ET window higher than or equal to its starting price. The traded outcomes are Up and Down.

How are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds determined?

The odds come from live Polymarket trading, where prices reflect what traders are willing to pay for each outcome. They can move quickly during the five-minute window as Bitcoin’s price changes.

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter tracked $1,515 in smart money activity and one signal for this event. The notable alert was a late-timer signal from a trader profile with an 86% win rate.

When does this Polymarket event resolve?

The market resolves after the 1:15–1:20 PM ET window on April 21, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream to compare the beginning and ending prices.

Does this market use Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from exchanges or other charting sites may not match the official result.