Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down from 1:15 PM to 1:20 PM ET on April 21, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to Up if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down if the ending price is lower. The market resolves on April 21, 2026, and is designed for short-term traders watching minute-by-minute Bitcoin prediction market odds.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,515.

Notable Trades

Late timer with 86% win rate

A profitable wallet with an 86% win rate bought Down just 5 minutes before resolution as the market moved sharply, a strong short-term timing signal despite the small dollar size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their resolved trades and is up $7.6k on $17.2k invested
  • They bought Down just 5 minutes before resolution, a pattern that can matter in fast-moving BTC markets
  • The market moved about 31 points toward Down, backing the idea that they were early to a sharp move

$1,515 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7eb3...265a — Outcome 54586601, $6,156 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xf981...520e — Outcome 54586601, $2,693 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x9e99...e6d3 — Outcome 54586601, $1,897 (86% win rate)
  4. 0xa769...3e2b — Outcome 54586601, $1,877
  5. 0xa6ae...13f4 — Outcome 54586601, $1,638 (67% win rate)
  6. 0xfee3...9a0c — Outcome 54586601, $1,490 (53% win rate)
  7. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 54586601, $1,200
  8. 0x61ea...d0c1 — Outcome 54586601, $1,167
  9. 0x1b1f...61b4 — Outcome 54586601, $876 (87% win rate)
  10. 0x3b3f...6525 — Outcome 54586601, $872

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

$1,515 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

1h ago

$1,515 on Down at 45¢