Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $4,888 tracked · resolves May 2, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 7:35–7:40AM ET window on May 2 up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Traders are betting on the short-term direction of BTC, with PolySpotter tracking $4,888 in smart money activity and recent signals pointing to Down interest from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer bought Down
Profitable serial last-minute BTC trader effectively bought Down at 47¢ minutes before resolution, with a long 71% win record and strong P&L.
$1,757Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 14.2 - Profitable serial timer hit Down
A highly profitable serial last-minute BTC trader bought Down seconds before resolution and was immediately right, but the market has already moved to 100%.
$3,131Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 12.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5b6331…11a4$4,888 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2 at 7:35AM ET?
The odds reflect Polymarket trading on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price ends the 5-minute window higher or lower than where it began. PolySpotter tracks the live market plus smart money signals across the event.
What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show a profitable serial timer bought Down and later hit Down, suggesting notable informed or historically successful activity on the Down side of the market.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 7:40AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 7:35AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to Down.
Is this market based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?
No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from other exchanges or charting sites may not determine the outcome.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 2 market resolve?
The event resolves after the 7:35–7:40AM ET window on May 2, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.