Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,888.

Categories: Crypto Prices, Crypto, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Recurring, 5M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer hit Down

A highly profitable serial last-minute BTC trader bought Down seconds before resolution and was immediately right, but the market has already moved to 100%.

  • This bettor has a 71% record across 13,301 resolved trades and is up $131K lifetime.
  • They placed this Down bet less than 1 minute before resolution, matching a pattern of 47 last-minute bets with a positive edge.
  • Entry around 50¢ became worth 100¢ almost immediately, showing strong timing on short BTC markets.

$3,131 on Down | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial timer bought Down

Profitable serial last-minute BTC trader effectively bought Down at 47¢ minutes before resolution, with a long 71% win record and strong P&L.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $128,800 lifetime.
  • They placed this 2.3 minutes before resolution, matching a repeated last-minute pattern across 46 bets.
  • Selling Up at 53¢ is effectively buying Down at 47¢, while the market has since moved to 76¢ Down.

$1,757 on Down | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x30be...f4c1 Outcome 99153750, $1,747 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x85c0...9231 Outcome 99153750, $1,402
  3. 0xd11a...f206 Outcome 99153750, $1,384
  4. 0xbd0b...8a03 Outcome 99153750, $1,384
  5. 0x5ce9...e6af Outcome 99153750, $1,274
  6. 0x5c6a...3b2e Outcome 99153750, $990
  7. 0x775c...4151 Outcome 99153750, $445
  8. 0x5320...f3b2 Outcome 99153750, $358
  9. 0x30e6...80fc Outcome 99153750, $300
  10. 0x31ad...8b71 Outcome 99153750, $200

Related Theses

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Resolved$4,888 tracked2 signalsCrypto PricesHide From NewCryptoBitcoinUp or DownRecurring5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

3h ago

$3,131 on Down at 50¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

3h ago

$1,757 on Down at 47¢

Related Theses