Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,405 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the May 12, 7:45AM–7:50AM ET window using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream. Traders are pricing a very short-term BTC move, with PolySpotter tracking $1,405 in smart money activity and a recent signal showing an 80% winner fading the Up side.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET1 signal · $1,405 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 80% winner fading Up

    Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate sold Up near resolution, equivalent to buying Down at 15¢, despite the market later showing Up at 100%.

    $1,405Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x1e3b68c850$1,405 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 12 odds on Polymarket?

The odds reflect whether traders expect Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price at 7:50AM ET to be greater than or equal to its price at 7:45AM ET. Because this is a 5-minute market, prices can move quickly as the window approaches and during live trading.

What does smart money show for this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,405 in smart money activity across this event. The latest notable alert says an 80% winner is fading Up, suggesting a high-performing trader is betting against Bitcoin finishing higher or equal over the window.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 7:45AM–7:50AM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the start. If it is lower, the market resolves to Down.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not the price shown on individual exchanges or other crypto data providers.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 12 event resolve?

The event resolves after the 7:45AM–7:50AM ET window on May 12, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.