Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,405.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

80% winner fading Up

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate sold Up near resolution, equivalent to buying Down at 15¢, despite the market later showing Up at 100%.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $125.8K lifetime.
  • They have a long pattern across 94 events with an 80% hit rate, suggesting repeatable edge.
  • Selling Up at 85¢ is equivalent to buying Down at 15¢, a high-upside contrarian entry.

$1,405 on Down | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe170...418f Outcome 44630726, $2,000
  2. 0xdd3c...35cf Outcome 44630726, $1,454
  3. 0x01ee...618f Outcome 44630726, $1,110
  4. 0x5ca0...fc36 Outcome 44630726, $967
  5. 0x482e...4894 Outcome 44630726, $785
  6. 0x4b03...bd66 Outcome 44630726, $600
  7. 0x4cd6...686f Outcome 44630726, $500
  8. 0x8556...fad9 Outcome 44630726, $394 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 44630726, $358 (71% win rate)
  10. 0xede5...2554 Outcome 44630726, $265 (40% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1,405 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

2h ago

$1,405 on Down at 15¢

Related Theses