Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $5,067 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 7:20PM–7:25PM ET window on May 15 up or down versus its starting price, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $5,067 in smart money activity across the event, including signals from a profitable serial timer and a 98% serial BTC timer.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution bettor with positive P&L bought Down 7.9 minutes before resolution in a short BTC market, but the edge is moderate and price has moved against the entry.
$2,930Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 5.7 - 98% serial BTC timer
Serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Up at 85¢ right at resolution, continuing a highly profitable last-minute BTC pattern.
$2,136Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x823d73…0dba$2,930 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x32a273…505c$2,136 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 odds?
The odds reflect how traders are pricing whether Bitcoin will be up or down at the end of the 7:20PM–7:25PM ET window compared with the start of that same five-minute period.
What does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve on?
This event resolves using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. If the BTC price at 7:25PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 7:20PM ET, the market resolves Up; otherwise it resolves Down.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter is tracking $5,067 in smart money activity across this Bitcoin Up or Down event, with recent signals including a profitable serial timer and a 98% serial BTC timer.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event resolves after the May 15, 7:20PM–7:25PM ET window ends, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the beginning and end of that interval.