Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,067.
Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M, Up or Down
Notable Trades
98% serial BTC timer
Serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Up at 85¢ right at resolution, continuing a highly profitable last-minute BTC pattern.
- This bettor has won 98% of 4,623 resolved trades and is up $41,499 lifetime.
- They have traded 25 similar events, suggesting a repeatable edge in these short Bitcoin markets.
- The buy landed at 85¢ just as the market resolved to 100%, showing strong timing precision.
$2,136 on Up | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution bettor with positive P&L bought Down 7.9 minutes before resolution in a short BTC market, but the edge is moderate and price has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has a pattern of last-minute trades, with 3 near-resolution bets across 3 markets.
- The wallet is up $3,120 lifetime and has beaten implied odds by about 20%.
- They bought Down at 63¢, implying strong conviction despite the market now pricing it closer to 55¢.
$2,930 on Down | Wallet win rate: 51%
Top Holders
- 0x931c...a002 — Down, $2,603
- 0x0695...c8d3 — Down, $730
- 0x4cd6...686f — Down, $500 (86% win rate)
- 0x4c81...8ea1 — Down, $440
- 0x7ec4...00ad — Down, $416
- 0xe226...f76b — Down, $405
- 0x32b8...fe67 — Down, $350
- 0x14a2...1b42 — Down, $270
- 0xdaca...0d85 — Down, $212
- 0x3638...ff62 — Down, $210
Related Theses
Ethereum drops by 9:55PM
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises in five minutes
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin falls before 2AM
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin ticks higher by 11:20PM
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises by 12:25
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin falls before 11:45 ET
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises by 5AM
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises by 7:30
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises this interval
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin falls during window
Covers 1 related market
