Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $4,222 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 11:10PM–11:15PM ET window on May 15 up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter is tracking $4,222 in smart money activity, with recent signals split between a sharp serial timer buying Up and a 97% winner buying Down.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp serial timer buys Up
Sharp profitable BTC bettor with an 83% record made another near-resolution Up bet, though the market has since moved against the entry.
$1,108Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 10.0 - 97% winner buying Down
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and +$44.6k P&L bought Down shortly before this BTC market resolved.
$3,114Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 3.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x18614c…ff2a$3,114 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x51ef3e…cda1$1,108 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 odds on Polymarket?
The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price at 11:15PM ET will be greater than or equal to its price at 11:10PM ET. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing and smart money activity around both Up and Down positioning.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin 5-minute market?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show mixed sharp activity: a sharp serial timer bought Up, while a trader with a 97% win rate bought Down. In total, PolySpotter has tracked $4,222 in smart money across this event.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 11:10PM–11:15PM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to Down.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?
No. The market resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from Coinbase, Binance, or other exchanges. Traders should compare the start and end prices from that Chainlink source.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 market resolve?
The event resolves after the 11:15PM ET endpoint on May 15, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD prices for the five-minute window are available and verified.