Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,222.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

Sharp serial timer buys Up

Sharp profitable BTC bettor with an 83% record made another near-resolution Up bet, though the market has since moved against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $45,091 lifetime.
  • They have a repeated pattern of last-minute bets across 4 markets, totaling $5,662.
  • Bought Up at 52¢ just 2.7 minutes before resolution, but the market has since fallen to 35¢.

$1,108 on Up | Wallet win rate: 81%

97% winner buying Down

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and +$44.6k P&L bought Down shortly before this BTC market resolved.

  • This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved trades and is up $44.6k lifetime.
  • They put $3.1k on Down at 63¢ in a very short-term BTC market.
  • Entry at 63¢ is slightly better than the current 65¢ market price.

$3,114 on Down | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1861...ff2a Outcome 80631105, $8,245 (97% win rate)
  2. 0xd8d8...bcbe Outcome 80631105, $2,064
  3. 0x7511...582e Outcome 80631105, $664 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x95ca...bbaf Outcome 80631105, $613
  5. 0x32b8...fe67 Outcome 80631105, $500
  6. 0x4cd6...686f Outcome 80631105, $500
  7. 0x72a7...4a3e Outcome 80631105, $480
  8. 0xe226...f76b Outcome 80631105, $405
  9. 0x5320...f3b2 Outcome 80631105, $377
  10. 0x3f50...70f3 Outcome 80631105, $324

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises by 11:20

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises by 12:15AM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$4,222 tracked2 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

2h ago

$1,108 on Up at 52¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

2h ago

$3,114 on Down at 63¢

Related Theses