Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

3 signals across 1 market · $7,193 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the five-minute window from 12:10AM to 12:15AM ET on May 16, based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream. PolySpotter is monitoring $7,193 in tracked smart money activity, with recent alerts highlighting strong buying on Up and repeated BTC timer participation.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET3 signals · $7,193 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 97% BTC timer buying Up

    Sharp BTC micro-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong profits bought Up despite the price later moving back to 50%.

    $3,383Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 16.2
  2. 90% serial BTC timer

    A proven sharp wallet with 90% wins and strong profits bought Down at 41¢ on a thin 5-minute BTC market, moving the price sharply toward its side.

    $2,721Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 15.2
  3. 76% crypto timer

    Sharp short-term crypto bettor with a 76% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down minutes before resolution, despite the trade being modest in size.

    $1,088Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 10.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18614cff2a$3,383 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
  2. 0xee4ecae2cc$2,721 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
  3. 0xb3fdfe22c7$1,088 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds?

The event’s odds reflect whether traders expect BTC/USD to be higher or lower at 12:15AM ET than it was at 12:10AM ET. Because this is a short five-minute market, odds can move quickly as Bitcoin price action changes.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $7,193 in smart money activity across 3 signals for this event. Recent alerts include “97% BTC timer buying Up,” “90% serial BTC timer,” and “76% crypto timer,” suggesting notable activity from traders focused on short-term BTC timing.

How does this Polymarket Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 12:15AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 12:10AM ET. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to Down.

What price source is used for resolution?

Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from exchanges, CoinMarketCap, TradingView, or other Bitcoin price sources.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 market resolve?

This event covers the 12:10AM–12:15AM ET window on May 16 and is expected to resolve after the end of that window, using the Chainlink BTC/USD values for the start and end times.