This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $39.8K lifetime. They bought Down at 41¢ and the market has already moved to 50¢. This is part of a 10-market near-resolution pattern with $14.9K traded.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $14.5K lifetime. They bought Down at 64¢ about 6 minutes before resolution on a very quiet BTC market. The bet was nearly 19x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction.

Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,193.

Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M, Up or Down

Notable Trades

97% BTC timer buying Up

Sharp BTC micro-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong profits bought Up despite the price later moving back to 50%.

This bettor has won 30 of 31 resolved trades and is up $49,136 lifetime.
They are a serial short-window trader across 25 events with a 97% hit rate.
The $3.4K buy was huge for this quiet market, over 58x the reported 24h volume.

$3,383 on Up | Wallet win rate: 97%

90% serial BTC timer

A proven sharp wallet with 90% wins and strong profits bought Down at 41¢ on a thin 5-minute BTC market, moving the price sharply toward its side.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $39.8K lifetime.
They bought Down at 41¢ and the market has already moved to 50¢.
This is part of a 10-market near-resolution pattern with $14.9K traded.

$2,721 on Down | Wallet win rate: 90%

76% crypto timer

Sharp short-term crypto bettor with a 76% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down minutes before resolution, despite the trade being modest in size.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $14.5K lifetime.
They bought Down at 64¢ about 6 minutes before resolution on a very quiet BTC market.
The bet was nearly 19x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction.

$1,088 on Down | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0x1861...ff2a — Outcome 44214060, $3,441 (97% win rate)
0xcd08...ef3b — Outcome 44214060, $3,136
0x1e87...0ff3 — Outcome 44214060, $1,543
0x5e56...a7f6 — Outcome 44214060, $1,288
0x9de9...ee25 — Outcome 44214060, $734
0x43d0...ef3e — Outcome 44214060, $537
0x32b8...fe67 — Outcome 44214060, $500
0x671d...c1c6 — Outcome 44214060, $473
0xafc1...b18c — Outcome 44214060, $450
0x6021...8ca2 — Outcome 44214060, $444 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises by 11:20

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises by 12:15AM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$7,193 tracked3 signalsCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5MUp or Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades