Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $3,097 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 12:20AM–12:25AM ET window on May 16 at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, or ends lower. PolySpotter is tracking $3,097 in smart money activity across this 5-minute BTC market, including signals from a profitable serial timer and a 98% crypto serial winner.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Sharp wallet with an 81% track record and strong lifetime profit bought Down minutes before resolution, and the market has already moved sharply in its favor.
$1,050Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 10.4 - 98% crypto serial winner
Surface because this is a highly proven serial crypto bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, even though the market appears to have resolved immediately after the trade.
$2,047Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x32a273…505c$2,047 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x51ef3e…cda1$1,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for May 16, 12:20AM–12:25AM ET?
The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin will end the 5-minute window up versus down, based on Polymarket trading. PolySpotter tracks these odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how sharp traders are positioning.
How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?
It resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 12:25AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 12:20AM ET. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to “Down.”
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,097 in smart money across 2 signals for this event. Recent alerts highlight activity from a profitable serial timer and a trader labeled as a 98% crypto serial winner.
Is this market based on Binance, Coinbase, or another exchange price?
No. This market resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from individual exchanges like Binance or Coinbase.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market covers May 16 from 12:20AM to 12:25AM ET and is scheduled to resolve after that window, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD data is available.