Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,097.

Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Up or Down, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

98% crypto serial winner

Surface because this is a highly proven serial crypto bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, even though the market appears to have resolved immediately after the trade.

This bettor has won 98% of 4,660 resolved trades and is up $44,006 lifetime.
They have traded across 27 related crypto events with a 98% hit rate.
Entry at 82¢ paid out at 100¢ almost immediately, suggesting strong last-second execution edge.

$2,047 on Up | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial timer

Sharp wallet with an 81% track record and strong lifetime profit bought Down minutes before resolution, and the market has already moved sharply in its favor.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $50,071 lifetime.
They bought Down at 43¢ just 4.3 minutes before resolution, fitting a repeated last-minute betting pattern.
The market has already moved to 72¢ for Down, suggesting the timing was strong.

$1,050 on Down | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0x5eac...3dc7 — Outcome 70819351, $5,439
0xb3fd...22c7 — Outcome 70819351, $1,733 (76% win rate)
0xb5d1...4fb1 — Outcome 70819351, $1,250
0xdbed...2a9e — Outcome 70819351, $1,168
0x68c0...b645 — Outcome 70819351, $1,030
0x77b1...f4ca — Outcome 70819351, $1,025
0x5e56...a7f6 — Outcome 70819351, $1,000
0xc539...73d1 — Outcome 70819351, $881
0xe5a3...364c — Outcome 70819351, $769
0xb0c0...e88f — Outcome 70819351, $710

Related Theses

Bitcoin ticks higher by 11:20PM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$3,097 tracked2 signalsCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringUp or DownCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.