Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $4,518 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 9:10AM–9:15AM ET window up or down versus its starting price. PolySpotter is monitoring the live prediction-market odds and has flagged $4,518 in tracked smart-money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET1 signal · $4,518 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with positive lifetime P&L is making a $4.5k Down bet minutes before settlement, though the wallet’s overall win rate is only 50%.

    $4,518Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 5.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9dae8797a2$4,518 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for May 16, 9:10AM–9:15AM ET?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ live expectations for whether BTC will end the five-minute window at or above its starting price, or below it. Check the event page for the latest market-implied probabilities.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $4,518 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent alert highlighting a “profitable serial timer,” suggesting activity from a trader with a history in short-duration timing markets.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

It resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 9:10AM–9:15AM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. Otherwise, it resolves to “Down.”

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. The resolution source is the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, so the result is based on Chainlink’s reported BTC/USD price rather than any single crypto exchange.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the 9:10AM–9:15AM ET window on May 16, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.