Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,518.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with positive lifetime P&L is making a $4.5k Down bet minutes before settlement, though the wallet’s overall win rate is only 50%.

  • This wallet has made 5 near-resolution bets across 4 markets and is up $8.6k lifetime.
  • The bettor put $4.5k on Down about 8 minutes before resolution, a large stake versus $6.7k liquidity.
  • Entry averaged about 60¢, implying they see Down as meaningfully more likely than the market’s 58¢ price.

$4,518 on Down | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1e50...2473 — Outcome 10137912, $2,500
  2. 0x93b1...7c90 — Outcome 10137912, $1,662
  3. 0x9515...5d63 — Outcome 10137912, $1,400
  4. 0x5204...23c2 — Outcome 10137912, $960
  5. 0x5947...cc22 — Outcome 10137912, $719
  6. 0x27b7...69ae — Outcome 10137912, $601
  7. 0x26b5...01c8 — Outcome 10137912, $590
  8. 0xf4a4...3117 — Outcome 10137912, $510 (38% win rate)
  9. 0xce69...ca82 — Outcome 10137912, $500
  10. 0x8bd7...afa7 — Outcome 10137912, $400

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$4,518 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

2h ago

$4,518 on Down at 60¢