Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
3 signals across 1 market · $9,248 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down during the May 17, 8:10AM–8:15AM ET window, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter has tracked $6,803 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts pointing to profitable serial timer activity in this short-duration BTC market.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader placed a large Down bet that dwarfed market volume on a very quiet BTC 5-minute market.
$2,179Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 8.4 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with positive P&L put $4.6k on Down in a thin 5-minute market, though the short time window makes the signal noisier.
$4,624Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.5 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution BTC bettor bought Down at 66¢ and was correct, with a profitable history of similar timing trades despite an ordinary overall win rate.
$2,445Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x823d73…0dba$9,248 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 51% wins
FAQs
What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 17 prediction market?
It is a 5-minute Polymarket event on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price at 8:15AM ET is greater than or equal to its price at 8:10AM ET. If it is, the market resolves to Up; otherwise it resolves to Down.
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down from 8:10AM to 8:15AM ET?
The live odds move as traders buy and sell the Up and Down outcomes. PolySpotter tracks the market alongside smart money activity so you can see how informed traders are positioning before resolution.
What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter has tracked $6,803 in smart money and 2 signals for this event. The recent alerts flagged profitable serial timer activity, suggesting experienced short-window traders have been active.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves after the May 17, 8:10AM–8:15AM ET window, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. The scheduled resolution time is 12:15 UTC, which corresponds to 8:15AM ET.
Does this market use Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?
No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from a single crypto exchange or another charting source.