Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,248.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution BTC bettor bought Down at 66¢ and was correct, with a profitable history of similar timing trades despite an ordinary overall win rate.

  • This wallet has made 11 near-resolution bets across 9 markets and is up $10.8K overall.
  • They bought Down at 66¢ about 9 minutes before resolution, and the market has since moved to 100¢.
  • The edge is timing-based rather than win-rate-based: 50% wins overall, but profitable on $194K invested.

$2,445 on Down | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with positive P&L put $4.6k on Down in a thin 5-minute market, though the short time window makes the signal noisier.

  • This bettor has made 9 near-resolution trades across 8 markets and is up $9.2k overall.
  • They put $4.6k on Down, more than 5x the market’s recent quiet-volume baseline flagged by the alert.
  • Entry averaged about 64¢, while the market is now near 50¢, offering a cheaper copy price than the bettor paid.

$4,624 on Down | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial near-resolution trader placed a large Down bet that dwarfed market volume on a very quiet BTC 5-minute market.

  • This wallet has made 5 near-resolution bets across 5 markets and is up $9.2K overall.
  • The $2.2K Down buy was more than 5x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • Entry at 62¢ implies they saw Down as likely, though the market has since moved against them to 48¢.

$2,179 on Down | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1e50...2473 — Outcome 64169933, $2,500
  2. 0x4ac3...2543 — Outcome 64169933, $2,031
  3. 0x1e3b...c850 — Outcome 64169933, $1,135 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x24f5...98d2 — Outcome 64169933, $834
  5. 0x7e77...8232 — Outcome 64169933, $760
  6. 0x7ec4...00ad — Outcome 64169933, $750
  7. 0x1d6e...4320 — Outcome 64169933, $698
  8. 0x8852...c569 — Outcome 64169933, $670
  9. 0x2709...20f5 — Outcome 64169933, $617
  10. 0xb47d...1707 — Outcome 64169933, $546

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$9,248 tracked3 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

3d ago

$2,445 on Down at 66¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

3d ago

$4,624 on Down at 64¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

3d ago

$2,179 on Down at 62¢