Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
6 signals across 3 markets · $412,820 tracked · resolves Sep 5, 2026
Explore the Polymarket prediction market for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Union Berlin on September 5, 2026. The event currently trades whether Union Berlin will win, with $6,581 in tracked smart money and a 91%-win-rate bettor backing “No.”
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Five-wallet Leverkusen conviction cluster
A $272,500 five-wallet Yes cluster, including a highly profitable 91% bettor, drove an 11.4x volume spike and lifted the price to 70%.
$272,501Score: 6.4 - 91% win-rate bettor backs No
A highly profitable serial trader placed a larger $4.9K bet on No, though the simultaneous Yes purchase makes the overall position less clean to copy.
$6,581Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor leads four-wallet No cluster
Four wallets bought nearly $12,000 of No amid a 32x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate.
$11,963Score: 5.4 - Serial bettor adds to Yes
A serial cross-market trader with 224 resolved bets added to an existing Yes position during a 35x volume surge, though the trader’s historical win rate does not clearly exceed typical entry odds.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - 8-0 bettor scales into Yes
A highly profitable bettor with an 8-0 record added roughly $110,000 to an existing Yes position despite Bayer already trading at 68-69%.
$110,100Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.8 - 89% win-rate bettor buys No
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge placed $6,676 on No during an extreme volume spike.
$6,676Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 2.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x168a51…0d24$110,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$6,676 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xe954dd…1ef1$6,581 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x5016c4…1eeb$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
This event tracks the market-implied probability of 1. FC Union Berlin winning the September 5, 2026 Bundesliga match. Check the live event page for the latest price and odds.
What is the smart money doing in this match prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $6,581 in smart money across the event. One alert shows a bettor with a 91% win rate backing “No” on Union Berlin winning.
Which outcome is traded for Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
The available child market asks whether 1. FC Union Berlin will win on September 5, 2026. It does not currently list separate child markets for a draw or a Bayer Leverkusen win.
When does the Leverkusen vs Union Berlin market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by September 5, 2026 at 13:30 UTC, following the outcome of the Bundesliga match.