Part of: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $387,601.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga
Notable Trades
Serial bettor adds to Yes
A serial cross-market trader with 224 resolved bets added to an existing Yes position during a 35x volume surge, though the trader’s historical win rate does not clearly exceed typical entry odds.
- This bettor has 224 resolved trades and a 76% win rate across 47 events.
- The $5,000 addition came during a 35x historical volume spike, alongside a 28-point market move.
- The wallet already held Yes at a 73¢ average, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Five-wallet Leverkusen conviction cluster
A $272,500 five-wallet Yes cluster, including a highly profitable 91% bettor, drove an 11.4x volume spike and lifted the price to 70%.
- Five wallets bought Yes for a combined $272,501, with the market rising from roughly 67–69¢ to 70¢.
- One participating wallet wins 91% of its 431 resolved bets and is up $402,583 overall.
- The buying created an 11.4x historical volume spike, though the market remains far from its September 2026 resolution.
$272,501 on Yes
8-0 bettor scales into Yes
A highly profitable bettor with an 8-0 record added roughly $110,000 to an existing Yes position despite Bayer already trading at 68-69%.
- This bettor has won all 8 resolved trades and is up $2.36 million on $10.88 million invested.
- They added about $110,000 at 68-69% odds to an existing $160,000 Yes position, showing increased conviction.
- The buying accounted for over 7,000 times the historical scan-window volume, though the market remains highly liquid overall.
$110,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 30391964, $129,058 (48% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 30391964, $44,444 (52% win rate)
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 30391964, $26,612 (55% win rate)
- 0x6d11...c449 — Outcome 30391964, $26,413 (64% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 30391964, $15,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 30391964, $11,684 (62% win rate)
- 0x191f...4a8d — Outcome 30391964, $7,887 (71% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 30391964, $7,096 (45% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 30391964, $5,122 (71% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 30391964, $4,463
Related Theses
Barcelona will win August 27
Covers 1 related market
Real Madrid will win
Covers 1 related market
PSG will win on September 4
Covers 1 related market
Leverkusen will win September 5
Covers 1 related market
Arsenal FC will win on August 31
Covers 1 related market
Barcelona wins on August 31
Covers 1 related market
Bayern Munich will win on September 5
Covers 1 related market
Morocco wins on July 4
Covers 1 related market
Colombia wins on July 3
Covers 1 related market
Real Sociedad will win
Covers 1 related market
