Part of: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $387,601.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Serial bettor adds to Yes

A serial cross-market trader with 224 resolved bets added to an existing Yes position during a 35x volume surge, though the trader’s historical win rate does not clearly exceed typical entry odds.

  • This bettor has 224 resolved trades and a 76% win rate across 47 events.
  • The $5,000 addition came during a 35x historical volume spike, alongside a 28-point market move.
  • The wallet already held Yes at a 73¢ average, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Five-wallet Leverkusen conviction cluster

A $272,500 five-wallet Yes cluster, including a highly profitable 91% bettor, drove an 11.4x volume spike and lifted the price to 70%.

  • Five wallets bought Yes for a combined $272,501, with the market rising from roughly 67–69¢ to 70¢.
  • One participating wallet wins 91% of its 431 resolved bets and is up $402,583 overall.
  • The buying created an 11.4x historical volume spike, though the market remains far from its September 2026 resolution.

$272,501 on Yes

8-0 bettor scales into Yes

A highly profitable bettor with an 8-0 record added roughly $110,000 to an existing Yes position despite Bayer already trading at 68-69%.

  • This bettor has won all 8 resolved trades and is up $2.36 million on $10.88 million invested.
  • They added about $110,000 at 68-69% odds to an existing $160,000 Yes position, showing increased conviction.
  • The buying accounted for over 7,000 times the historical scan-window volume, though the market remains highly liquid overall.

$110,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x709e...66f5 Outcome 30391964, $129,058 (48% win rate)
  2. 0x336b...1233 Outcome 30391964, $44,444 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x4408...1b6a Outcome 30391964, $26,612 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x6d11...c449 Outcome 30391964, $26,413 (64% win rate)
  5. 0xf519...906b Outcome 30391964, $15,000 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 30391964, $11,684 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x191f...4a8d Outcome 30391964, $7,887 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 30391964, $7,096 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x3f3a...e8fd Outcome 30391964, $5,122 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 30391964, $4,463

Related Theses

Barcelona will win August 27

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Real Madrid will win

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PSG will win on September 4

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Leverkusen will win September 5

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Arsenal FC will win on August 31

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Barcelona wins on August 31

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Bayern Munich will win on September 5

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Morocco wins on July 4

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Colombia wins on July 3

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Real Sociedad will win

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Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?

ResolvedBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Union Berlin$387,601 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
73¢
69¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?

6d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 85¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?

6d ago

$272,501 on Yes at 70¢

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?

6d ago

$110,100 on Yes at 69¢

Related Theses