FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets
30 signals across 10 markets · $131,129 tracked · resolves Sep 18, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga matchup through a Bayern -3.5 spread market—whether Bayern wins by at least four goals. PolySpotter is tracking $43,311 in smart money and three signals, including concentrated Bayern wagers from high-win-rate bettors and an experienced trader during an extreme volume spike.
Markets (10)
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)7 signals · $58,682 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 7.57 signals · $35,693 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.56 signals · $13,338 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 1.54 signals · $13,116 tracked
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)1 signal · $3,000 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Score1 signal · $2,397 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 6.51 signal · $1,369 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.51 signal · $1,322 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.51 signal · $1,211 tracked
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Bayern München O/U 5.51 signal · $1,000 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor leads coordinated Under buying
A large coordinated Under position is supported by a highly profitable bettor, a major volume spike, and extensive cross-market track records, though the market has already moved to 100% Under.
$13,319Score: 8.7 - 93% winner scaling into Under
A highly experienced serial trader with a 93% win rate added $5,000 to an already-large Under position in an exceptionally illiquid market, though the entry offers little apparent price edge.
$3,627Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.2 - Cross-market bettor backs Under
A large Under bet dominates a thin market and comes from a wallet with repeated positioning across six related markets, though its broad track record is not especially sharp.
$2,173Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 7.2 - Sharp bettors double down on Over
Three wallets concentrated $8,006 on Over, including two highly profitable bettors adding to existing positions despite a sharp price decline.
$8,006Score: 7.1 - Sharp bettor leads Under cluster
A sharp, highly profitable bettor joined two other wallets in a concentrated Under position amid a dramatic pre-event volume spike, making this a strong directional sports signal despite existing positions.
$6,576Score: 6.9 - Sharp bettor scaling into Over
A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial edge is adding $1,000 to an Over position in a thin market after a sharp price move.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 6.5 - Profitable whale leads Bayern cluster
Three wallets bought Bayern at 53¢ amid a 731x volume spike, led by a $9.7K purchase from a highly profitable bettor with a 64% win rate.
$12,117Score: 6.3 - 94% win-rate bettor buys Bayern heavily
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial historical edge placed an unusually large, concentrated Bayern spread position amid a major volume spike.
$18,718Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.2 - 94% bettor makes concentrated Bayern wager
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate made a concentrated $23,000 purchase in a thin market at roughly 49.5%, alongside an extreme volume spike.
$22,989Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.2 - Sharp bettor adds to Under
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 86% win rate is adding to a substantial Under position at 65%.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4d3079…a42d$41,706 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x2a6966…d2f7$10,600 · 2 markets · 7 alerts · 71% wins
- 0xb340ec…1ad1$8,627 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xbbf379…aa3a$6,387 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 87% wins
- 0x415581…fa41$3,861 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x9a92f7…3c67$3,163 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x0e6267…17c2$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xec9f34…e57b$2,397 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xb8ef61…2864$2,291 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x787969…3653$1,579 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
FAQs
What are the Bayern vs Union Berlin prediction market odds?
Polymarket odds are shown in the event’s Bayern -3.5 spread market. The market reflects the probability that Bayern München covers the spread by winning by four or more goals.
What is the Bayern -3.5 market predicting?
The market compares Bayern München’s performance against a 3.5-goal handicap. A Bayern cover requires a win by at least four goals; otherwise, the opposing outcome resolves as the winner.
What is smart money doing on Bayern vs Union Berlin?
PolySpotter has tracked $43,311 in smart money across the event and three signals. Alerts include concentrated Bayern wagers from bettors with a reported 94% win rate, plus activity from an experienced trader during an extreme volume spike.
When does the Bayern vs Union Berlin market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the Bundesliga game on September 18 at 2:30 PM ET, with the listed resolution time of September 18, 2026 at 6:30 PM UTC.