Part of: FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,682.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Bundesliga

Notable Trades

Experienced trader amid extreme volume spike

A highly experienced trader with $25.6M in cross-market volume took a fresh 51¢ position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the available record does not prove strong odds-adjusted edge.

  • This trader has participated across 4,638 markets with a 70% win rate and is up $7.0M lifetime.
  • The market saw an extraordinary 73,780x surge versus its normal 24-hour activity, with six trades positioning ahead of the match.
  • The fresh $1,605 BUY on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢ is meaningful but not dominant relative to the market’s $79,277 liquidity.

$1,040 on 1. FC Union Berlin | Wallet win rate: 70%

Experienced trader amid extreme volume spike

A highly experienced trader with $25.6M in cross-market volume took a fresh 51¢ position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the available record does not prove strong odds-adjusted edge.

  • This trader has participated across 4,638 markets with a 70% win rate and is up $7.0M lifetime.
  • The market saw an extraordinary 73,780x surge versus its normal 24-hour activity, with six trades positioning ahead of the match.
  • The fresh $1,605 BUY on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢ is meaningful but not dominant relative to the market’s $79,277 liquidity.

$1,006 on 1. FC Union Berlin | Wallet win rate: 70%

Experienced trader amid extreme volume spike

A highly experienced trader with $25.6M in cross-market volume took a fresh 51¢ position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the available record does not prove strong odds-adjusted edge.

  • This trader has participated across 4,638 markets with a 70% win rate and is up $7.0M lifetime.
  • The market saw an extraordinary 73,780x surge versus its normal 24-hour activity, with six trades positioning ahead of the match.
  • The fresh $1,605 BUY on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢ is meaningful but not dominant relative to the market’s $79,277 liquidity.

$1,208 on 1. FC Union Berlin | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable whale leads Bayern cluster

Three wallets bought Bayern at 53¢ amid a 731x volume spike, led by a $9.7K purchase from a highly profitable bettor with a 64% win rate.

  • A highly profitable bettor with a 64% win rate and $50.0M lifetime P&L bought $9,747 of Bayern at 53¢.
  • Three wallets placed $12,117 in coordinated Bayern bets, while market volume spiked to 731 times its historical average.
  • Bayern has already moved up 8% in one day, supporting the cluster's bullish direction.

$12,117 on FC Bayern München

94% win-rate bettor buys Bayern heavily

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial historical edge placed an unusually large, concentrated Bayern spread position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 93 resolved trades and earned $3.18 million in profit.
  • They concentrated $18,718 on Bayern at roughly 50¢, exceeding the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
  • The trade coincides with a massive volume surge and the wallet’s extensive cross-market track record across 208 markets.

$18,718 on FC Bayern München | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% bettor makes concentrated Bayern wager

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate made a concentrated $23,000 purchase in a thin market at roughly 49.5%, alongside an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades, with $3.18M in lifetime profit across 93 positions.
  • They committed nearly $23,000 to Bayern at an average price near 49.5%, far exceeding the market’s recent trading volume.
  • The position coincides with a massive pre-event volume spike, while the market has already moved from 48¢ to 50¢.

$22,989 on FC Bayern München | Wallet win rate: 94%

Experienced trader amid extreme volume spike

A highly experienced trader with $25.6M in cross-market volume took a fresh 51¢ position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the available record does not prove strong odds-adjusted edge.

  • This trader has participated across 4,638 markets with a 70% win rate and is up $7.0M lifetime.
  • The market saw an extraordinary 73,780x surge versus its normal 24-hour activity, with six trades positioning ahead of the match.
  • The fresh $1,605 BUY on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢ is meaningful but not dominant relative to the market’s $79,277 liquidity.

$1,605 on 1. FC Union Berlin | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe954...1ef1 Outcome 18548258, $14,349 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x2117...5c26 Outcome 18548258, $13,712 (45% win rate)
  3. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 18548258, $11,133
  4. 0xa3c5...6930 Outcome 18548258, $8,950 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x322e...ef2c Outcome 18548258, $7,360 (91% win rate)
  6. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 18548258, $4,671 (74% win rate)
  7. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 18548258, $3,801 (45% win rate)
  8. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 18548258, $3,674 (81% win rate)
  9. 0x5b62...d87f Outcome 18548258, $2,000 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x7609...6c4e Outcome 18548258, $2,000 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

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Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

ResolvedFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets$58,682 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerBundesliga

In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 18 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “FC Bayern München
57¢
46¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

2d ago

$1,040 on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

2d ago

$1,006 on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

2d ago

$1,208 on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

2d ago

$12,117 on FC Bayern München at 53¢

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

2d ago

$18,718 on FC Bayern München at 50¢

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

2d ago

$22,989 on FC Bayern München at 50¢

Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)

2d ago

$1,605 on 1. FC Union Berlin at 51¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
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Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?