FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
7 signals across 3 markets · $14,955 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This Polymarket event covers the Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 on May 3, 2026, with separate markets for a St. Pauli win, Mainz win, or draw. PolySpotter is tracking $14,955 in smart-money activity across the event, including signals from perfect-record sports sharps, a proven 76% winner, and serial last-minute sports bettors.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Perfect-record sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a perfect 46/46 resolved record bought No before the market moved sharply in their favor.
$1,405Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 8.0 - 95% sharp buying NO
A highly profitable 95% win-rate sports trader took a contrarian No position, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$2,520Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 8.0 - Serial last-minute sports bettor
Serial near-resolution sports bettor sold No at 62¢ (equivalent to buying Yes at 38¢) exactly at the deadline, and the market has since moved to 88¢ Yes.
$2,486Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 7.5 - Proven 76% winner buying NO
A proven profitable wallet with a 76% resolved-bet win rate bought No at 84¢ before the market moved to 90¢.
$1,141Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0 - Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking a modest BUY No position with a strong 367-bet track record.
$1,422Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0 - New repeat bettor backing underdog
A new wallet with 8 repeat large-bet flags is putting another $3.9K into the Yes side at 35¢, suggesting a bettor worth tracking despite no resolved record yet.
$3,913Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.5 - Sharp bettor fading 90¢ favorite
A profitable high-volume sports bettor is fading a major Mainz price move by selling Yes at 90¢, effectively taking No at 10¢.
$2,068Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1ef5bc…dc05$3,913 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x38f1cf…9ff1$2,563 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xf57eb9…bbd6$2,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x6d3c5b…d294$2,486 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x3045b3…8f78$2,068 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$1,405 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for St. Pauli vs Mainz?
The event includes three traded outcomes: FC St. Pauli win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 win, and a draw. Check the live event page for current prices, implied probabilities, and movement across all outcomes.
What is the smart money doing on St. Pauli vs Mainz?
PolySpotter has tracked $14,955 in smart-money activity across 7 signals for this match. Recent alerts include a perfect-record sports sharp, a 95% sharp buying NO, a proven 76% winner buying NO, and sharp serial sports bettors.
Can I bet on the draw in this prediction market?
Yes. This event has a dedicated child market for whether FC St. Pauli vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 ends in a draw, alongside separate markets for each team to win.
When does the St. Pauli vs Mainz market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve around the Bundesliga match time on Sunday, May 3, 2026, with the listed resolution time of 13:30 UTC. Final resolution depends on the official match result.
Why follow PolySpotter for this Bundesliga market?
PolySpotter highlights smart-money signals behind the odds, including activity from historically successful and last-minute sports bettors, so you can see not just the market price but who is moving it.