This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $198K lifetime. They have traded across 62 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge. They bought No at 63¢ while it now trades near 12¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,496.

Categories: Sports, bundesliga, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fading 90¢ favorite

A profitable high-volume sports bettor is fading a major Mainz price move by selling Yes at 90¢, effectively taking No at 10¢.

This bettor has won 76% of 1,063 resolved bets and is up $165K lifetime.
They are fading a big move after Yes jumped 53 percentage points in a day.
Selling Yes at 90¢ is equivalent to buying No at 10¢ for a long-shot comeback or draw angle.

$2,068 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

95% sharp buying NO

A highly profitable 95% win-rate sports trader took a contrarian No position, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $198K lifetime.
They have traded across 62 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
They bought No at 63¢ while it now trades near 12¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.

$2,520 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Serial last-minute sports bettor

Serial near-resolution sports bettor sold No at 62¢ (equivalent to buying Yes at 38¢) exactly at the deadline, and the market has since moved to 88¢ Yes.

This bettor has made 115 last-minute bets across 88 markets and is up $10.9k overall.
They effectively bought Yes at 38¢, far below the current 88¢ market price.
The timing is the key signal: the trade hit exactly at the listed resolution time on a live sports market.

$2,486 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking a modest BUY No position with a strong 367-bet track record.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $120K lifetime.
They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
Buying No at 64¢ means they are backing Mainz not to win despite the market already leaning that way.

$1,422 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%