Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
10 signals across 3 markets · $333,746 tracked · resolves Sep 10, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 lower bracket final between Alliance and magic in FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B. The market tracks both match outcomes, with a recent PolySpotter signal showing 92% of winner-backed smart money on magic and $15,000 in total smart money tracked.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 13-wallet Alliance conviction cluster
A 13-wallet, two-funder Alliance cluster deployed nearly $158,000 while several participants have strong profitability and the market moved from roughly 66-73% to 88%.
$157,988Score: 10.9 - Profitable bettor buys magic into selloff
A highly profitable bettor made an unusually large magic position, but it conflicts with a much larger linked Alliance cluster and has already moved sharply underwater.
$88,344Score: 10.1 - Five-wallet Alliance conviction cluster
Five wallets committed nearly $52,000 to Alliance, including several profitable bettors, and the market subsequently rose from 52-75% to 96%.
$51,980Score: 7.5 - Serial bettor adds to magic
A serial cross-market trader added $6,200 to magic during an extraordinary 3,244x pre-event volume spike, although the track record does not show a clear price-adjusted edge.
$6,200Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 7.0 - Sharp bettors scaling into Alliance
Three wallets added to Alliance, including two highly experienced profitable bettors with strong long-term records and a serial cross-market trading history.
$3,565Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial bettor adds Alliance
A profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding $4,768 to an existing Alliance position at 38%, though the trade is not a fresh entry.
$4,768Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.4 - Elite bettor backs Alliance
A highly experienced and profitable bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a concentrated $2,400 bet on Alliance at 48%.
$2,400Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.0 - Proven serial bettor backs magic
A highly experienced serial bettor with 2,019 resolved trades, a 76% win rate, and $2.83M profit is buying magic at near-market odds.
$2,002Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.9 - Serial esports bettor makes thin-market bet
A highly experienced serial esports trader made a large Alliance bet in a thin market, though the position has since fallen from 74% to 62%.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.3 - 92% winner backs magic
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit placed a $15,000 fresh wager on magic in an extremely low-volume market.
$15,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 2.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf55927…f462$15,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x994ec8…6136$6,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x05625c…18a4$4,768 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$2,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xdd882a…dadb$2,002 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x871886…5040$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the Alliance vs magic prediction-market odds?
The live odds are shown on the PolySpotter event page and can change as traders update their positions on Alliance or magic. The market covers the winner of the BO3 match.
What is the smart money betting on in Alliance vs magic?
A recent PolySpotter alert shows that 92% of tracked winner-backed smart money favored magic. The event has recorded one smart money signal and $15,000 in tracked smart money.
What does this Counter-Strike prediction market cover?
This Polymarket event covers the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B lower bracket final between Alliance and magic. It resolves to the match winner; a canceled match or tie resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.
When does the Alliance vs magic market resolve?
The match is scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, and the market is listed to resolve by September 10, 2026 at 18:00 UTC, subject to the exchange's match and postponement rules.