Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
16 signals across 3 markets · $228,383 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
Team Falcons face Aurora Gaming in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, with the market trading on which team wins. PolySpotter has tracked $5,758 in smart money activity and flagged a profitable serial cross-market whale.

Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets adding to Aurora at scale
Four experienced, profitable wallets added roughly $90,000 to Aurora amid a 43x volume spike, led by a bettor with a 95% win rate.
$90,405Score: 7.9 - Seven-wallet Falcons accumulation
Seven wallets added $13.6K of Team Falcons exposure, including a highly profitable large trader, though opposing Aurora flow and the current 52% price add uncertainty.
$13,601Score: 7.4 - Four-wallet cluster led by proven winner
Four wallets added to Team Falcons, including a proven bettor with an 80% win rate and $584K in profit, while the market price rose from 63¢ to 74¢.
$10,539Score: 6.4 - Three-wallet cluster adding to Falcons
Three wallets added $25,343 to Team Falcons amid a 17.5x volume spike, with one participant showing a profitable 1,626-bet history.
$20,727Score: 6.4 - Proven bettor adds to Aurora cluster
A profitable, highly active trader added to an existing Aurora position amid a 3-wallet one-sided buying cluster and a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$1,174Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 6.0 - 96% winner backs Falcons
A highly profitable bettor with 216 resolved positions and a 96% win rate made a substantial $10,997 buy on Team Falcons.
$10,997Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - 95% winner backing Aurora
A highly profitable bettor with 95% wins across 151 resolved positions bought Aurora at 41¢, making this a strong copyable position.
$28,700Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 95% winner adds to Aurora position
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial lifetime profit added another $33.9K to an existing Aurora position at 40¢.
$33,930Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - Three-wallet flow backing Aurora
A sharp volume surge and three-wallet flow toward Aurora support the $1,349 buy, though the trader also holds Falcons exposure.
$1,350Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 5.1 - Three-wallet Aurora buying surge
Three wallets put $3,940 on Aurora amid a reported 184.7x volume spike, though this wallet's track record does not show a clear edge.
$1,417Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 5.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x79ae09…9a4a$33,930 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x7c37b5…6aeb$28,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xe40ecf…9770$10,997 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xf2f49d…49cd$5,885 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 76% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$5,758 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x80bac5…2e78$1,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x8144b8…266c$1,417 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x0063b2…2dd2$1,350 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xddc38b…029c$1,174 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x8adb83…e4f6$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Falcons vs Aurora Gaming?
The market tracks the probability of Team Falcons or Aurora Gaming winning the BO3 match. Check the live market page for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing in the Falcons vs Aurora market?
PolySpotter reports $5,758 in tracked smart money activity and one signal: a profitable serial cross-market whale. The alert does not specify a team in its headline.
When is the Falcons vs Aurora Gaming match?
The match is scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET as part of the ESL Pro League Group Stage.
How does the Falcons vs Aurora market resolve?
The market resolves to Team Falcons or Aurora Gaming if that team wins. If the match is canceled without being played or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.