Part of: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Team Falcons and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $196,402.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New wallet adding to $14K Aurora position

A very new wallet is scaling a sizable Aurora position, with a volume spike providing some corroboration, though its four resolved bets are too few to establish a track record.

  • A wallet just 7 hours old has put over $14,000 into Aurora, including this additional $4,068 buy at 40¢.
  • Trading activity was 17.5 times the historical average, though the wallet’s 75% win rate is based on only four resolved bets.

$1,818 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp wallets adding to Aurora at scale

Four experienced, profitable wallets added roughly $90,000 to Aurora amid a 43x volume spike, led by a bettor with a 95% win rate.

  • Four wallets bought about $90,000 of Aurora, including a highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate across 151 resolved positions.
  • The trades coincided with a 43x volume spike, and all four wallets were adding to existing Aurora positions.
  • Aurora was bought around 39–42¢ despite current odds near 34¢, showing these bettors are holding conviction after the price moved against them.

$90,405 on Aurora Gaming

95% winner backing Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with 95% wins across 151 resolved positions bought Aurora at 41¢, making this a strong copyable position.

  • This bettor has won 144 of 151 resolved positions and earned over $10.6M.
  • They bought Aurora at 41¢, close to the market’s current 40% odds.
  • The wallet has traded across 99 events, with over $8.5M in tracked activity.

$28,700 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

Three-wallet cluster adding to Falcons

Three wallets added $25,343 to Team Falcons amid a 17.5x volume spike, with one participant showing a profitable 1,626-bet history.

  • Three wallets bought Team Falcons for a combined $25,343, adding to existing positions.
  • One participant has won 62% of 1,626 resolved bets and is up $87,331.
  • Trading volume was 17.5 times its historical average as the bets came in around 60¢.

$20,727 on Team Falcons

New wallet adding to $14K Aurora position

A very new wallet is scaling a sizable Aurora position, with a volume spike providing some corroboration, though its four resolved bets are too few to establish a track record.

  • A wallet just 7 hours old has put over $14,000 into Aurora, including this additional $4,068 buy at 40¢.
  • Trading activity was 17.5 times the historical average, though the wallet’s 75% win rate is based on only four resolved bets.

$4,068 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%

95% winner adds to Aurora position

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial lifetime profit added another $33.9K to an existing Aurora position at 40¢.

  • This bettor has won 340 of 359 resolved positions and is up $4.34M.
  • They added $33.9K to an existing Aurora position at 40¢, matching the current market odds.
  • The wallet has traded across 417 events, with a reported 95% win rate.

$33,930 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% winner backs Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with 216 resolved positions and a 96% win rate made a substantial $10,997 buy on Team Falcons.

  • This bettor has won 207 of 216 resolved positions and is up $3.03M lifetime.
  • They put nearly $11,000 on Team Falcons at 60¢, matching the current market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 115 events, showing a substantial history beyond this single match.

$10,997 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable serial cross-market whale

A highly profitable bettor with a massive resolved-bet history placed $5,758 on Team Falcons, including shares bought at 35¢ that are now around 60¢.

  • This bettor is up $8.8 million across more than 37,000 resolved bets, with a 67% win rate.
  • They put $5,758 on Team Falcons—about 68% of the market’s 24-hour volume—and one entry at 35¢ is now around 60¢.

$5,758 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c37...6aeb — Aurora Gaming, $308,545 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x79ae...9a4a — Aurora Gaming, $87,500 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xe787...5034 — Aurora Gaming, $50,000 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 — Aurora Gaming, $12,923 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x620b...2e9f — Aurora Gaming, $10,000 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x5e76...15de — Aurora Gaming, $8,923 (83% win rate)
  7. 0x6b97...8d30 — Aurora Gaming, $8,500 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xc49f...9e05 — Aurora Gaming, $8,197 (96% win rate)
  9. 0xb8ef...2864 — Aurora Gaming, $6,537 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x0286...f61d — Aurora Gaming, $6,377 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series

Covers 3 related markets

Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit completes reverse sweep

Covers 4 related markets

Invictus Gaming wins every game and series

Covers 4 related markets

Dplus KIA wins series 3-1

Covers 5 related markets

LGD series win, AL Game 4

Covers 4 related markets

G2 will sweep Falcons series

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus KIA Sweeps T1 3-0

Covers 4 related markets

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$196,402 tracked8 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Team Falcons
100¢
Aurora Gaming
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Team Falcons and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-04 13:13 UTC

$1,818 on Aurora Gaming at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-04 12:26 UTC

$90,405 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-04 12:09 UTC

$28,700 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-04 12:32 UTC

$20,727 on Team Falcons at 60¢

60¢→100¢↑40¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-04 11:19 UTC

$4,068 on Aurora Gaming at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-04 09:04 UTC

$33,930 on Aurora Gaming at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-04 06:15 UTC

$10,997 on Team Falcons at 60¢

60¢→100¢↑40¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-03 23:56 UTC

$5,758 on Team Falcons at 60¢

60¢→100¢↑40¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series
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Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…
Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals
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Spain vs. Argentina: Both Team…Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Team Spirit completes reverse sweep
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
Invictus Gaming wins every game and series
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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus G…LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus G…LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus G…
Dplus KIA wins series 3-1
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LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA -…LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (…LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA -…
LGD series win, AL Game 4
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Ga…Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LG…LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Ga…
G2 will sweep Falcons series
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Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…
Dplus KIA Sweeps T1 3-0
Wallet_0x7c37b trades 4 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 …LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - L…LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 …